Random Process and Linear Algebra: Unit I: Probability and Random Variables,,

Sample spaces having equally likely outcomes

Problems of Type P(A) = n(A)/n(S)

If we assume that all outcomes of an experiment are equally likely to occur, then the probability of any event E equals the proportion of outcomes in the sample space that are contained in E. P (E) = number of points in E / number of points in S

Sample spaces having equally likely outcomes.

If we assume that all outcomes of an experiment are equally likely to occur, then the probability of any event E equals the proportion of outcomes in the sample space that are contained in E.

P (E) = number of points in E / number of points in S

TYPE 1(a) P(A) = n(A)/n(S)

Example 1.1.1

Find the probability that exactly one head appears in a single throw of a fair coin.

Solution:

Formula P(A) = n(A)/n(S)

Here A be the event of getting exactly one head in a single throw of a fair coin.

S --> Sample space = {H, T}

n(S) = 2

n(A) = 1

.'. P(A) = n(A)/n(S) = 1/2

Example 1.1.2

If two dice are rolled, what is the probability that the sum of the upturned faces will be equal to 7?

Solution :

The number of total outcomes is n(S) = 36

Let A = {Sum of the upturned faces will equal 7} = {(1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1)}

n(A) = 6

It is assumed that all the 36 possible outcomes are equally likely.

.'. P(A) = n(A)/n(S) = 6/36 = 1/6

Example 1.1.3

From a pack of 52 cards two cards are drawn the first being replaced before the second is drawn. Find the probability that the first one is a diamond and second is a king.

Solution

Let A be an event of drawing a diamond.

P (A) = n(A)/n(S) = 13/52 = 1/4

Let B be an event of drawing a king.

P(B) = n(B)/n(S) = 4/52 = 1/13

A and B are independent events.

Hence P (A ∩ B) = P(A).P(B) = (1/4) (1/13) = 1/52

Example 1.1.4

A bag contains 5 white and 10 red balls. Three balls are taken out at random. Find the probability that all the three balls drawn red.

Solution : Total number of balls = 15

S = {Three balls are taken out of 15}


Number of red balls = 10

A = {Three balls which are red}


Example 1.1.5

If 3 balls are "randomly drawn" from a bowl containing 6 white and 5 black balls, what is the probability that one of the drawn balls is white and the other two black ?

Solution :

The total number of balls = 11

Among this 3 balls are randomly selected from the bowl.

.'. Total number of possible outcomes = n(S) = 11C3 = 11.10.9 / 1.2.3 = 165

The number of favourable outcomes

(i.e., 1 is white and the other two are black) = n(A) = 6C1 x 5C2

= 6 x (5.4/1.2) = 6 x 10 = 60

Hence the required probability P(A) = n(A)/n(S) = 60/165 = 4/11

Example 1.1.6

A lot of integrated circuit chips consists of 10 good, 4 with minor defects and 2 with major defects. Two chips are randomly chosen from the lot. What is the probability that atleast one chip is good? [A.U M/J 2017]

Solution :


Example 1.1.7

A committee of 5 persons is to be selected randomly from a group of 5 men and 10 women. (a) Find the probability that the committee consists of 2 men and 3 women. (b) Find the probability that the committee consists of all women.

Solution :

(a) The number of total outcomes is given by n(S) = 15C5

It is assumed that "random selection" means that each of the outcomes is equally likely.

Let A = {The committee consists of 2 men and 3 women}

Then n(A) = (5C2) (10C3)


(b) Let B = {the event that the committee consists of all women}

n(B) = (5C0) (10C5)


Example 1.1.8

Four persons are chosen at random from a group containing 3 men, 2 women and 4 children. Show that the chance that exactly two of them will be children is 10/21. [A.U N/D 2006]

Solution :

Total number of persons = 9

4 persons can be chosen out of 9 persons 9C4 ways = 9.8.7.6 / 1.2.3.4 = 126 ways

The number of ways of choosing 2 children out of 4 children = 4C2 ways = 4.3 / 1.2 = 6 ways

The remaining two persons can be choosen from 5 persons (3 men + 2 women) = 5C2 ways

= 5.4 / 1.2 = 10 ways

.'. The number of favourable case = 4C2 × 5C2 ways = 6 × 10 ways = 60 ways.

Required probability = 60/126 = 10/21

Example 1.1.9

Four persons are chosen at random from a group containing 3 men, 2 women and 4 children. Show that the chance that exactly two of them will be children is 10/21. [A.U N/D 2006]

Solution :

Total number of persons = 9

4 persons can be chosen out of 9 persons = 9C4 ways = 9.8.7.6 / 1.2.3.4 = 126 ways

The number of ways of choosing 2 children out of 4 children = 4C2 ways = 4.3 / 1.2 = 6 ways

The remaining two persons can be choosen from 5 persons (3 men + 2 women) = 5C2 ways = 5.4 / 1.2 = 10 ways

.'. The number of favourable case = 4C2 × 5C2 ways = 6 × 10 ways = 60 ways.

.'. Required probability = 60/126 = 10/21

Example 1.1.10

Two dice are thrown together. Find the probability that (a) the total of the numbers on the top face is 9 and (b) the top faces are same. [A.U. M/J 2006]

Solution :

(a) Let A be the event which gives the sum of the top numbers as 9.

Favourable cases which gives the total as 9 are (3, 6), (4, 5), (5, 4), (6, 3)

P(A) = 4/36 = 1/9

(b) Let B be the event which gives the top faces are same.

Favourable cases are (1, 1), (2, 2), (3, 3), (4, 4), (5, 5) and (6, 6)

P(B) = 6/36 = 1/6

Example 1.1.11

Out of (2n + 1) tickets consecutively numbered three are drawn at random. Find the probability that the numbers on them are in arithmetic progression. [A.U. M/J 2006]

Solution:

Out of (2n + 1) tickets, 3 tickets can be drawn in (2n+1)C3 ways.

.'. total number of exhaustive cases


To find the favourable number of cases, we give all possibilities in which the numbers on the drawn tickets are in A.P. with common difference d = 1, 2, 3, ..., n-1, n (say)

If d = 1, the possibilities are



Similary, if d = n 1, then the possible cases are


If d= n, then there is only one case as (1, n + 1, 2n + 1)

.'. the total number of favourable cases is (2n-1) + (2n-3) + ... + 5 + 3+1 which is an A.P. with common difference 2.

Hence favourable cases = 


Thus the required probability = 

Random Process and Linear Algebra: Unit I: Probability and Random Variables,, : Tag: : Problems of Type P(A) = n(A)/n(S) - Sample spaces having equally likely outcomes